ChipsMedia (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11728.5
| 094360 Stock | 14,080 90.00 0.64% |
ChipsMedia |
ChipsMedia Target Price Odds to finish below 11728.5
The tendency of ChipsMedia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 11,728 or more in 90 days |
| 14,080 | 90 days | 11,728 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ChipsMedia to drop to 11,728 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ChipsMedia probability density function shows the probability of ChipsMedia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ChipsMedia price to stay between 11,728 and its current price of 14080.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ChipsMedia has a beta of 0.14. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ChipsMedia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ChipsMedia will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ChipsMedia has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ChipsMedia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ChipsMedia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ChipsMedia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ChipsMedia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ChipsMedia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ChipsMedia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ChipsMedia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ChipsMedia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 835.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
ChipsMedia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ChipsMedia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ChipsMedia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ChipsMedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ChipsMedia has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
ChipsMedia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ChipsMedia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ChipsMedia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ChipsMedia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 481.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.7 B | |
| Shares Float | 6 M |
ChipsMedia Technical Analysis
ChipsMedia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ChipsMedia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ChipsMedia. In general, you should focus on analyzing ChipsMedia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ChipsMedia Predictive Forecast Models
ChipsMedia's time-series forecasting models is one of many ChipsMedia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ChipsMedia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ChipsMedia
Checking the ongoing alerts about ChipsMedia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ChipsMedia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ChipsMedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ChipsMedia has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in ChipsMedia Stock
ChipsMedia financial ratios help investors to determine whether ChipsMedia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ChipsMedia with respect to the benefits of owning ChipsMedia security.