Puloon Technology (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5511.97

094940 Stock  KRW 5,830  70.00  1.19%   
Puloon Technology's future price is the expected price of Puloon Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Puloon Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Puloon Technology Backtesting, Puloon Technology Valuation, Puloon Technology Correlation, Puloon Technology Hype Analysis, Puloon Technology Volatility, Puloon Technology History as well as Puloon Technology Performance.
  
Please specify Puloon Technology's target price for which you would like Puloon Technology odds to be computed.

Puloon Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 5511.97

The tendency of Puloon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 5,512  or more in 90 days
 5,830 90 days 5,512 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Puloon Technology to drop to W 5,512  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Puloon Technology probability density function shows the probability of Puloon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Puloon Technology price to stay between W 5,512  and its current price of W5830.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Puloon Technology has a beta of 0.55. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Puloon Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Puloon Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Puloon Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Puloon Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Puloon Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Puloon Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,8285,8305,832
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,2476,0506,052
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,5105,5125,514
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,7875,8535,919
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Puloon Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Puloon Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Puloon Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Puloon Technology.

Puloon Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Puloon Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Puloon Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Puloon Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Puloon Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.55
σ
Overall volatility
232.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Puloon Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Puloon Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Puloon Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Puloon Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Puloon Technology has accumulated about 1.58 B in cash with (1.47 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Puloon Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Puloon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Puloon Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Puloon Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.5 B

Puloon Technology Technical Analysis

Puloon Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Puloon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Puloon Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Puloon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Puloon Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Puloon Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Puloon Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Puloon Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Puloon Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Puloon Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Puloon Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Puloon Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Puloon Technology has accumulated about 1.58 B in cash with (1.47 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Puloon Stock

Puloon Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Puloon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Puloon with respect to the benefits of owning Puloon Technology security.