FuelCell Energy (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.40
| 0A60 Stock | 11.87 0.56 4.95% |
FuelCell |
FuelCell Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.40
The tendency of FuelCell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.40 or more in 90 days |
| 11.87 | 90 days | 0.40 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FuelCell Energy to drop to 0.40 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This FuelCell Energy probability density function shows the probability of FuelCell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FuelCell Energy price to stay between 0.40 and its current price of 11.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 24.85 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FuelCell Energy will likely underperform. In addition to that FuelCell Energy has an alpha of 35.6878, implying that it can generate a 35.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FuelCell Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FuelCell Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FuelCell Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FuelCell Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FuelCell Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FuelCell Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FuelCell Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FuelCell Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 35.69 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 24.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
FuelCell Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FuelCell Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FuelCell Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FuelCell Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| FuelCell Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| FuelCell Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 123.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (107.57 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.16 M). | |
| FuelCell Energy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FUELCELL ENERGY, INC. - MSN |
FuelCell Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FuelCell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FuelCell Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FuelCell Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 419.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 353.7 M |
FuelCell Energy Technical Analysis
FuelCell Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FuelCell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FuelCell Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing FuelCell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FuelCell Energy Predictive Forecast Models
FuelCell Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many FuelCell Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FuelCell Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FuelCell Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about FuelCell Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FuelCell Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FuelCell Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| FuelCell Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| FuelCell Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 123.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (107.57 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.16 M). | |
| FuelCell Energy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FUELCELL ENERGY, INC. - MSN |
Additional Tools for FuelCell Stock Analysis
When running FuelCell Energy's price analysis, check to measure FuelCell Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FuelCell Energy is operating at the current time. Most of FuelCell Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FuelCell Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FuelCell Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FuelCell Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.