Surgical Science (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 141.1

0AAU Stock   149.50  0.10  0.07%   
Surgical Science's future price is the expected price of Surgical Science instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Surgical Science Sweden performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Surgical Science Backtesting, Surgical Science Valuation, Surgical Science Correlation, Surgical Science Hype Analysis, Surgical Science Volatility, Surgical Science History as well as Surgical Science Performance.
  
Please specify Surgical Science's target price for which you would like Surgical Science odds to be computed.

Surgical Science Target Price Odds to finish over 141.1

The tendency of Surgical Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  141.10  in 90 days
 149.50 90 days 141.10 
about 7.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Surgical Science to stay above  141.10  in 90 days from now is about 7.48 (This Surgical Science Sweden probability density function shows the probability of Surgical Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Surgical Science Sweden price to stay between  141.10  and its current price of 149.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Surgical Science has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Surgical Science average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Surgical Science Sweden will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Surgical Science Sweden has an alpha of 0.2882, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Surgical Science Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Surgical Science

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Surgical Science Sweden. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
145.72148.66151.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
137.65140.59164.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
152.43155.37158.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
141.11146.50151.90
Details

Surgical Science Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Surgical Science is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Surgical Science's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Surgical Science Sweden, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Surgical Science within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
9.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Surgical Science Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Surgical Science for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Surgical Science Sweden can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Surgical Sciences new CEO buys shares, company related board member sells shares - Marketscreener.com

Surgical Science Technical Analysis

Surgical Science's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Surgical Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Surgical Science Sweden. In general, you should focus on analyzing Surgical Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Surgical Science Predictive Forecast Models

Surgical Science's time-series forecasting models is one of many Surgical Science's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Surgical Science's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Surgical Science Sweden

Checking the ongoing alerts about Surgical Science for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Surgical Science Sweden help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Surgical Sciences new CEO buys shares, company related board member sells shares - Marketscreener.com

Additional Tools for Surgical Stock Analysis

When running Surgical Science's price analysis, check to measure Surgical Science's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Surgical Science is operating at the current time. Most of Surgical Science's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Surgical Science's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Surgical Science's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Surgical Science to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.