AWILCO DRILLING (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.88
| 0AI1 Stock | 1.94 0.02 1.04% |
AWILCO |
AWILCO DRILLING Target Price Odds to finish below 1.88
The tendency of AWILCO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.88 or more in 90 days |
| 1.94 | 90 days | 1.88 | about 55.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AWILCO DRILLING to drop to 1.88 or more in 90 days from now is about 55.36 (This AWILCO DRILLING PLC probability density function shows the probability of AWILCO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AWILCO DRILLING PLC price to stay between 1.88 and its current price of 1.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AWILCO DRILLING PLC has a beta of -0.7. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AWILCO DRILLING are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AWILCO DRILLING PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AWILCO DRILLING PLC has an alpha of 0.1934, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AWILCO DRILLING Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for AWILCO DRILLING
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AWILCO DRILLING PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AWILCO DRILLING Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AWILCO DRILLING is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AWILCO DRILLING's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AWILCO DRILLING PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AWILCO DRILLING within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.7 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0049 |
AWILCO DRILLING Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AWILCO DRILLING for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AWILCO DRILLING PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AWILCO DRILLING PLC may become a speculative penny stock | |
| AWILCO DRILLING PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
AWILCO DRILLING Technical Analysis
AWILCO DRILLING's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AWILCO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AWILCO DRILLING PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing AWILCO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AWILCO DRILLING Predictive Forecast Models
AWILCO DRILLING's time-series forecasting models is one of many AWILCO DRILLING's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AWILCO DRILLING's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AWILCO DRILLING PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about AWILCO DRILLING for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AWILCO DRILLING PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AWILCO DRILLING PLC may become a speculative penny stock | |
| AWILCO DRILLING PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in AWILCO Stock
AWILCO DRILLING financial ratios help investors to determine whether AWILCO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AWILCO with respect to the benefits of owning AWILCO DRILLING security.