CHUBU EL (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.83
| 0C2 Stock | EUR 10.00 0.20 2.04% |
CHUBU |
CHUBU EL Target Price Odds to finish below 9.83
The tendency of CHUBU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 9.83 or more in 90 days |
| 10.00 | 90 days | 9.83 | about 10.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CHUBU EL to drop to € 9.83 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.0 (This CHUBU EL probability density function shows the probability of CHUBU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CHUBU EL price to stay between € 9.83 and its current price of €10.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CHUBU EL has a beta of -0.29. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CHUBU EL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CHUBU EL is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CHUBU EL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CHUBU EL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CHUBU EL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHUBU EL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CHUBU EL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CHUBU EL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CHUBU EL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CHUBU EL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CHUBU EL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
CHUBU EL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CHUBU EL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CHUBU EL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CHUBU EL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CHUBU EL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.71 T. Net Loss for the year was (43.02 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
CHUBU EL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CHUBU Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CHUBU EL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CHUBU EL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 756.1 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 37.8 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 348 B |
CHUBU EL Technical Analysis
CHUBU EL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHUBU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CHUBU EL. In general, you should focus on analyzing CHUBU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CHUBU EL Predictive Forecast Models
CHUBU EL's time-series forecasting models is one of many CHUBU EL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CHUBU EL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CHUBU EL
Checking the ongoing alerts about CHUBU EL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CHUBU EL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CHUBU EL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CHUBU EL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.71 T. Net Loss for the year was (43.02 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
Other Information on Investing in CHUBU Stock
CHUBU EL financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHUBU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHUBU with respect to the benefits of owning CHUBU EL security.