Catalent (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 59.20
| 0C8 Stock | EUR 58.55 0.32 0.55% |
Catalent |
Catalent Target Price Odds to finish over 59.20
The tendency of Catalent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 59.20 or more in 90 days |
| 58.55 | 90 days | 59.20 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Catalent to move over € 59.20 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Catalent probability density function shows the probability of Catalent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Catalent price to stay between its current price of € 58.55 and € 59.20 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Catalent has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Catalent average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Catalent will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Catalent has an alpha of 0.108, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Catalent Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Catalent
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catalent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Catalent Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Catalent is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Catalent's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Catalent, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Catalent within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Catalent Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Catalent for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Catalent can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Catalent has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Catalent Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Catalent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Catalent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Catalent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 179 M |
Catalent Technical Analysis
Catalent's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Catalent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Catalent. In general, you should focus on analyzing Catalent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Catalent Predictive Forecast Models
Catalent's time-series forecasting models is one of many Catalent's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Catalent's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Catalent
Checking the ongoing alerts about Catalent for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Catalent help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Catalent has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Catalent Stock
When determining whether Catalent is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Catalent Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Catalent Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Catalent Stock:Check out Catalent Backtesting, Catalent Valuation, Catalent Correlation, Catalent Hype Analysis, Catalent Volatility, Catalent History as well as Catalent Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Catalent Stock please use our How to Invest in Catalent guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.