Nordic Semiconductor (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 74.04
| 0FF9 Stock | 98.15 2.61 2.73% |
Nordic |
Nordic Semiconductor Target Price Odds to finish below 74.04
The tendency of Nordic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 74.04 or more in 90 days |
| 98.15 | 90 days | 74.04 | about 1.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nordic Semiconductor to drop to 74.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.17 (This Nordic Semiconductor ASA probability density function shows the probability of Nordic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nordic Semiconductor ASA price to stay between 74.04 and its current price of 98.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nordic Semiconductor ASA has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nordic Semiconductor are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nordic Semiconductor ASA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nordic Semiconductor ASA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nordic Semiconductor Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nordic Semiconductor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nordic Semiconductor ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nordic Semiconductor Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nordic Semiconductor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nordic Semiconductor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nordic Semiconductor ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nordic Semiconductor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 17.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Nordic Semiconductor Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nordic Semiconductor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nordic Semiconductor ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nordic Semiconductor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nordic Semiconductor has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Nordic Semiconductor Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nordic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nordic Semiconductor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nordic Semiconductor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Nordic Semiconductor Technical Analysis
Nordic Semiconductor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nordic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nordic Semiconductor ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nordic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nordic Semiconductor Predictive Forecast Models
Nordic Semiconductor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nordic Semiconductor's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nordic Semiconductor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nordic Semiconductor ASA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nordic Semiconductor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nordic Semiconductor ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nordic Semiconductor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nordic Semiconductor has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Tools for Nordic Stock Analysis
When running Nordic Semiconductor's price analysis, check to measure Nordic Semiconductor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nordic Semiconductor is operating at the current time. Most of Nordic Semiconductor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nordic Semiconductor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nordic Semiconductor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nordic Semiconductor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.