Pfeiffer Vacuum (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 154.16

0FQR Stock   154.60  0.70  0.45%   
Pfeiffer Vacuum's future price is the expected price of Pfeiffer Vacuum instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pfeiffer Vacuum Backtesting, Pfeiffer Vacuum Valuation, Pfeiffer Vacuum Correlation, Pfeiffer Vacuum Hype Analysis, Pfeiffer Vacuum Volatility, Pfeiffer Vacuum History as well as Pfeiffer Vacuum Performance.
  
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Pfeiffer Vacuum Target Price Odds to finish below 154.16

The tendency of Pfeiffer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  154.16  or more in 90 days
 154.60 90 days 154.16 
about 68.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pfeiffer Vacuum to drop to  154.16  or more in 90 days from now is about 68.87 (This Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology probability density function shows the probability of Pfeiffer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pfeiffer Vacuum Tech price to stay between  154.16  and its current price of 154.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pfeiffer Vacuum has a beta of 0.0973. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Pfeiffer Vacuum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology has an alpha of 0.0115, implying that it can generate a 0.0115 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pfeiffer Vacuum Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pfeiffer Vacuum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pfeiffer Vacuum Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
154.06154.61155.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
153.45154.00170.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
154.09154.63155.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
153.41154.57155.74
Details

Pfeiffer Vacuum Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pfeiffer Vacuum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pfeiffer Vacuum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pfeiffer Vacuum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
1.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Pfeiffer Vacuum Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pfeiffer Vacuum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pfeiffer Vacuum Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pfeiffer Vacuum Tech is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: SMICs Nvidia-Beating 120 percent Stock Rally Faces Chip War Threats - Yahoo Finance UK

Pfeiffer Vacuum Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pfeiffer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pfeiffer Vacuum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pfeiffer Vacuum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0497
Shares Float3.3 M

Pfeiffer Vacuum Technical Analysis

Pfeiffer Vacuum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pfeiffer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pfeiffer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pfeiffer Vacuum Predictive Forecast Models

Pfeiffer Vacuum's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pfeiffer Vacuum's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pfeiffer Vacuum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pfeiffer Vacuum Tech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pfeiffer Vacuum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pfeiffer Vacuum Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pfeiffer Vacuum Tech is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: SMICs Nvidia-Beating 120 percent Stock Rally Faces Chip War Threats - Yahoo Finance UK

Additional Tools for Pfeiffer Stock Analysis

When running Pfeiffer Vacuum's price analysis, check to measure Pfeiffer Vacuum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pfeiffer Vacuum is operating at the current time. Most of Pfeiffer Vacuum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pfeiffer Vacuum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pfeiffer Vacuum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pfeiffer Vacuum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.