Retail Estates (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 44.00
| 0FSO Stock | 72.10 13.40 22.83% |
Retail |
Retail Estates Target Price Odds to finish below 44.00
The tendency of Retail Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 44.00 or more in 90 days |
| 72.10 | 90 days | 44.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Retail Estates to drop to 44.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Retail Estates NV probability density function shows the probability of Retail Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Retail Estates NV price to stay between 44.00 and its current price of 72.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Retail Estates NV has a beta of -0.15. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Retail Estates are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Retail Estates NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Retail Estates NV has an alpha of 0.1887, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Retail Estates Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Retail Estates
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Retail Estates NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Retail Estates Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Retail Estates is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Retail Estates' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Retail Estates NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Retail Estates within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Retail Estates Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Retail Estates for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Retail Estates NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Retail Estates NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Retail Estates Technical Analysis
Retail Estates' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Retail Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Retail Estates NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Retail Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Retail Estates Predictive Forecast Models
Retail Estates' time-series forecasting models is one of many Retail Estates' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Retail Estates' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Retail Estates NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Retail Estates for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Retail Estates NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Retail Estates NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Retail Stock Analysis
When running Retail Estates' price analysis, check to measure Retail Estates' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Retail Estates is operating at the current time. Most of Retail Estates' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Retail Estates' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Retail Estates' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Retail Estates to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.