GENIUS METALS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0385
| 0FU Stock | EUR 0.04 0 2.22% |
GENIUS |
GENIUS METALS Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0385
The tendency of GENIUS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.04 or more in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.04 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GENIUS METALS to drop to € 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This GENIUS METALS INC probability density function shows the probability of GENIUS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GENIUS METALS INC price to stay between € 0.04 and its current price of €0.044 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.82 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This suggests GENIUS METALS INC market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, GENIUS METALS is expected to follow. Additionally GENIUS METALS INC has an alpha of 0.0845, implying that it can generate a 0.0845 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GENIUS METALS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GENIUS METALS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GENIUS METALS INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GENIUS METALS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GENIUS METALS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GENIUS METALS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GENIUS METALS INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GENIUS METALS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
GENIUS METALS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GENIUS METALS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GENIUS METALS INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GENIUS METALS INC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| GENIUS METALS INC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (831.62 K). | |
| GENIUS METALS INC has accumulated about 668.77 K in cash with (777.42 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. |
GENIUS METALS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GENIUS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GENIUS METALS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GENIUS METALS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Float Shares | 29.64M | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 2.17k |
GENIUS METALS Technical Analysis
GENIUS METALS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GENIUS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GENIUS METALS INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing GENIUS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GENIUS METALS Predictive Forecast Models
GENIUS METALS's time-series forecasting models is one of many GENIUS METALS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GENIUS METALS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GENIUS METALS INC
Checking the ongoing alerts about GENIUS METALS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GENIUS METALS INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GENIUS METALS INC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| GENIUS METALS INC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (831.62 K). | |
| GENIUS METALS INC has accumulated about 668.77 K in cash with (777.42 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. |
Other Information on Investing in GENIUS Stock
GENIUS METALS financial ratios help investors to determine whether GENIUS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GENIUS with respect to the benefits of owning GENIUS METALS security.