Grieg Seafood (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54.86

0GW8 Stock   65.38  0.41  0.63%   
Grieg Seafood's future price is the expected price of Grieg Seafood instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grieg Seafood performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Grieg Seafood Backtesting, Grieg Seafood Valuation, Grieg Seafood Correlation, Grieg Seafood Hype Analysis, Grieg Seafood Volatility, Grieg Seafood History as well as Grieg Seafood Performance.
  
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Grieg Seafood Target Price Odds to finish below 54.86

The tendency of Grieg Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  54.86  or more in 90 days
 65.38 90 days 54.86 
about 18.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grieg Seafood to drop to  54.86  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.27 (This Grieg Seafood probability density function shows the probability of Grieg Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grieg Seafood price to stay between  54.86  and its current price of 65.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grieg Seafood has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Grieg Seafood average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Grieg Seafood will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Grieg Seafood has an alpha of 0.3419, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Grieg Seafood Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grieg Seafood

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grieg Seafood. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.0466.3068.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.8472.8875.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.6565.9168.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
60.7564.9169.06
Details

Grieg Seafood Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grieg Seafood is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grieg Seafood's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grieg Seafood, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grieg Seafood within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
5.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Grieg Seafood Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grieg Seafood for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grieg Seafood can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Grieg Seafood Technical Analysis

Grieg Seafood's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grieg Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grieg Seafood. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grieg Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grieg Seafood Predictive Forecast Models

Grieg Seafood's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grieg Seafood's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grieg Seafood's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grieg Seafood

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grieg Seafood for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grieg Seafood help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Grieg Stock Analysis

When running Grieg Seafood's price analysis, check to measure Grieg Seafood's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grieg Seafood is operating at the current time. Most of Grieg Seafood's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grieg Seafood's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grieg Seafood's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grieg Seafood to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.