Deutsche Post (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 35.38
| 0H3Q Stock | 34.81 0.12 0.35% |
Deutsche |
Deutsche Post Target Price Odds to finish below 35.38
The tendency of Deutsche Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 35.38 after 90 days |
| 34.81 | 90 days | 35.38 | about 11.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deutsche Post to stay under 35.38 after 90 days from now is about 11.39 (This Deutsche Post AG probability density function shows the probability of Deutsche Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deutsche Post AG price to stay between its current price of 34.81 and 35.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Deutsche Post has a beta of 0.16. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Deutsche Post average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Deutsche Post AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deutsche Post AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Deutsche Post Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Deutsche Post
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deutsche Post AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Deutsche Post Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deutsche Post is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deutsche Post's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deutsche Post AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deutsche Post within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Deutsche Post Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deutsche Post for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deutsche Post AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Deutsche Post AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Deutsche Post Technical Analysis
Deutsche Post's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deutsche Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deutsche Post AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deutsche Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Deutsche Post Predictive Forecast Models
Deutsche Post's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deutsche Post's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deutsche Post's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Deutsche Post AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Deutsche Post for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deutsche Post AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Deutsche Post AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Deutsche Stock Analysis
When running Deutsche Post's price analysis, check to measure Deutsche Post's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deutsche Post is operating at the current time. Most of Deutsche Post's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deutsche Post's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deutsche Post's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deutsche Post to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.