Allstate Corp (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 201.3
| 0HCZ Stock | 191.49 5.79 2.93% |
Allstate |
Allstate Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 201.3
The tendency of Allstate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 201.30 after 90 days |
| 191.49 | 90 days | 201.30 | about 89.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allstate Corp to stay under 201.30 after 90 days from now is about 89.47 (This Allstate Corp probability density function shows the probability of Allstate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Allstate Corp price to stay between its current price of 191.49 and 201.30 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Allstate Corp has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Allstate Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Allstate Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Allstate Corp has an alpha of 0.0488, implying that it can generate a 0.0488 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Allstate Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Allstate Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allstate Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Allstate Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allstate Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allstate Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allstate Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allstate Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Allstate Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allstate Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allstate Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 57.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (188 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.44 B. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Allstate Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allstate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allstate Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allstate Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 262.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 722 M |
Allstate Corp Technical Analysis
Allstate Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Allstate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Allstate Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Allstate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Allstate Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Allstate Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Allstate Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Allstate Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Allstate Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Allstate Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Allstate Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 57.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (188 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.44 B. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Tools for Allstate Stock Analysis
When running Allstate Corp's price analysis, check to measure Allstate Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allstate Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Allstate Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allstate Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allstate Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allstate Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.