Boston Properties (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 74.12

0HOX Stock   81.77  0.50  0.61%   
Boston Properties' future price is the expected price of Boston Properties instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Boston Properties performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Boston Properties Backtesting, Boston Properties Valuation, Boston Properties Correlation, Boston Properties Hype Analysis, Boston Properties Volatility, Boston Properties History as well as Boston Properties Performance.
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Boston Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 74.12

The tendency of Boston Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  74.12  or more in 90 days
 81.77 90 days 74.12 
about 1.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Boston Properties to drop to  74.12  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.63 (This Boston Properties probability density function shows the probability of Boston Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Boston Properties price to stay between  74.12  and its current price of 81.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Boston Properties has a beta of 0.37. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Boston Properties average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Boston Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Boston Properties has an alpha of 0.14, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Boston Properties Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Boston Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boston Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.5882.2783.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.3883.0684.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.7779.4781.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
77.6980.8684.03
Details

Boston Properties Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Boston Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Boston Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Boston Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Boston Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
3.46
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Boston Properties Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Boston Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Boston Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Boston Properties is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts Set Boston Properties, Inc. Target Price at 80.92 - MarketBeat

Boston Properties Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Boston Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Boston Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boston Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding157.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 B

Boston Properties Technical Analysis

Boston Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Boston Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Boston Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Boston Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Boston Properties Predictive Forecast Models

Boston Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Boston Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Boston Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Boston Properties

Checking the ongoing alerts about Boston Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Boston Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Boston Properties is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts Set Boston Properties, Inc. Target Price at 80.92 - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for Boston Stock Analysis

When running Boston Properties' price analysis, check to measure Boston Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boston Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Boston Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boston Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boston Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boston Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.