Lumen Technologies (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.12
0HVP Stock | 6.82 0.29 4.08% |
Lumen |
Lumen Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 6.12
The tendency of Lumen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 6.12 in 90 days |
6.82 | 90 days | 6.12 | about 78.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lumen Technologies to stay above 6.12 in 90 days from now is about 78.02 (This Lumen Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Lumen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lumen Technologies price to stay between 6.12 and its current price of 6.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lumen Technologies has a beta of -0.26. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lumen Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lumen Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lumen Technologies has an alpha of 0.679, implying that it can generate a 0.68 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lumen Technologies Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Lumen Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lumen Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lumen Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lumen Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lumen Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lumen Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lumen Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Lumen Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lumen Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lumen Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Lumen Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
The company reported the revenue of 14.56 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.3 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.61 B. | |
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lumen Technologies continues losses for seven straight sessions - Seeking Alpha |
Lumen Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lumen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lumen Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lumen Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 983.1 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 B |
Lumen Technologies Technical Analysis
Lumen Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lumen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lumen Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lumen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lumen Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Lumen Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lumen Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lumen Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lumen Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lumen Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lumen Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lumen Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
The company reported the revenue of 14.56 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.3 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.61 B. | |
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lumen Technologies continues losses for seven straight sessions - Seeking Alpha |
Additional Tools for Lumen Stock Analysis
When running Lumen Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Lumen Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lumen Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Lumen Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lumen Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lumen Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lumen Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.