Chemours (UK) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.34
| 0HWG Stock | 20.05 1.00 4.75% |
Chemours |
Chemours Target Price Odds to finish below 20.34
The tendency of Chemours Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 20.34 after 90 days |
| 20.05 | 90 days | 20.34 | about 81.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chemours to stay under 20.34 after 90 days from now is about 81.82 (This Chemours Co probability density function shows the probability of Chemours Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chemours price to stay between its current price of 20.05 and 20.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chemours has a beta of 0.57. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Chemours average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chemours Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chemours Co has an alpha of 0.131, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Chemours Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chemours
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chemours. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chemours Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chemours is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chemours' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chemours Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chemours within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Chemours Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chemours for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chemours can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chemours had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.03 B. Net Loss for the year was (238 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.62 B. | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: The Chemours Co Shares Gap Down to 19.4226 on Oct 8 - GuruFocus.com |
Chemours Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chemours Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chemours' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chemours' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 148.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Chemours Technical Analysis
Chemours' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chemours Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chemours Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chemours Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chemours Predictive Forecast Models
Chemours' time-series forecasting models is one of many Chemours' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chemours' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chemours
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chemours for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chemours help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chemours had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.03 B. Net Loss for the year was (238 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.62 B. | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: The Chemours Co Shares Gap Down to 19.4226 on Oct 8 - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Chemours Stock Analysis
When running Chemours' price analysis, check to measure Chemours' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chemours is operating at the current time. Most of Chemours' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chemours' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chemours' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chemours to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.