Cintas Corp (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 180.05

0HYJ Stock   209.52  2.86  1.38%   
Cintas Corp's future price is the expected price of Cintas Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cintas Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cintas Corp Backtesting, Cintas Corp Valuation, Cintas Corp Correlation, Cintas Corp Hype Analysis, Cintas Corp Volatility, Cintas Corp History as well as Cintas Corp Performance.
  
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Cintas Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 180.05

The tendency of Cintas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  180.05  or more in 90 days
 209.52 90 days 180.05 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cintas Corp to drop to  180.05  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cintas Corp probability density function shows the probability of Cintas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cintas Corp price to stay between  180.05  and its current price of 209.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cintas Corp has a beta of 0.81. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Cintas Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cintas Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cintas Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cintas Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cintas Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cintas Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
207.84209.41210.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
188.57212.12213.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
201.13202.70204.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
202.52216.84231.15
Details

Cintas Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cintas Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cintas Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cintas Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cintas Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.81
σ
Overall volatility
8.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Cintas Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cintas Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cintas Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cintas Co. Shares Purchased by State Street Corp - MarketBeat

Cintas Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cintas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cintas Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cintas Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding413.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments342 M

Cintas Corp Technical Analysis

Cintas Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cintas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cintas Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cintas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cintas Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Cintas Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cintas Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cintas Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cintas Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cintas Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cintas Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cintas Co. Shares Purchased by State Street Corp - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for Cintas Stock Analysis

When running Cintas Corp's price analysis, check to measure Cintas Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cintas Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Cintas Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cintas Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cintas Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cintas Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.