Cintas Corp (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 201.21
0HYJ Stock | 225.20 1.63 0.73% |
Cintas |
Cintas Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 201.21
The tendency of Cintas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 201.21 or more in 90 days |
225.20 | 90 days | 201.21 | about 40.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cintas Corp to drop to 201.21 or more in 90 days from now is about 40.34 (This Cintas Corp probability density function shows the probability of Cintas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cintas Corp price to stay between 201.21 and its current price of 225.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.99 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cintas Corp will likely underperform. In addition to that Cintas Corp has an alpha of 3.2202, implying that it can generate a 3.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cintas Corp Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Cintas Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cintas Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cintas Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cintas Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cintas Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cintas Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cintas Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 72.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Cintas Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cintas Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cintas Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Cintas Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Cintas Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Landscape Capital Management L.L.C. Increases Holdings in Cintas Co. - MarketBeat |
Cintas Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cintas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cintas Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cintas Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 413.5 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 342 M |
Cintas Corp Technical Analysis
Cintas Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cintas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cintas Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cintas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cintas Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Cintas Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cintas Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cintas Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cintas Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cintas Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cintas Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cintas Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Cintas Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Landscape Capital Management L.L.C. Increases Holdings in Cintas Co. - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Cintas Stock Analysis
When running Cintas Corp's price analysis, check to measure Cintas Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cintas Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Cintas Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cintas Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cintas Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cintas Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.