Jacquet Metal (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.95

0IN3 Stock   15.87  0.32  2.06%   
Jacquet Metal's future price is the expected price of Jacquet Metal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jacquet Metal Service performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jacquet Metal Backtesting, Jacquet Metal Valuation, Jacquet Metal Correlation, Jacquet Metal Hype Analysis, Jacquet Metal Volatility, Jacquet Metal History as well as Jacquet Metal Performance.
  
Please specify Jacquet Metal's target price for which you would like Jacquet Metal odds to be computed.

Jacquet Metal Target Price Odds to finish below 13.95

The tendency of Jacquet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  13.95  or more in 90 days
 15.87 90 days 13.95 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jacquet Metal to drop to  13.95  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Jacquet Metal Service probability density function shows the probability of Jacquet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jacquet Metal Service price to stay between  13.95  and its current price of 15.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jacquet Metal has a beta of 0.43. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Jacquet Metal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jacquet Metal Service will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jacquet Metal Service has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jacquet Metal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jacquet Metal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jacquet Metal Service. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.2615.8717.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0215.6317.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.1615.7717.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.1115.5616.02
Details

Jacquet Metal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jacquet Metal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jacquet Metal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jacquet Metal Service, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jacquet Metal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Jacquet Metal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jacquet Metal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jacquet Metal Service can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jacquet Metal is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Jacquet Metal Technical Analysis

Jacquet Metal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jacquet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jacquet Metal Service. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jacquet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jacquet Metal Predictive Forecast Models

Jacquet Metal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jacquet Metal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jacquet Metal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jacquet Metal Service

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jacquet Metal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jacquet Metal Service help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jacquet Metal is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Jacquet Stock Analysis

When running Jacquet Metal's price analysis, check to measure Jacquet Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jacquet Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Jacquet Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jacquet Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jacquet Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jacquet Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.