WW Grainger (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1207.69

0IZI Stock   1,158  6.98  0.61%   
WW Grainger's future price is the expected price of WW Grainger instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WW Grainger performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WW Grainger Backtesting, WW Grainger Valuation, WW Grainger Correlation, WW Grainger Hype Analysis, WW Grainger Volatility, WW Grainger History as well as WW Grainger Performance.
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WW Grainger Target Price Odds to finish over 1207.69

The tendency of 0IZI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  1,208  or more in 90 days
 1,158 90 days 1,208 
about 8.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WW Grainger to move over  1,208  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.79 (This WW Grainger probability density function shows the probability of 0IZI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WW Grainger price to stay between its current price of  1,158  and  1,208  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WW Grainger has a beta of -0.0215. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding WW Grainger are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, WW Grainger is likely to outperform the market. Additionally WW Grainger has an alpha of 0.3721, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   WW Grainger Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WW Grainger

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WW Grainger. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0671,1901,192
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,1521,1531,304
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1501,1521,153
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,1571,1931,229
Details

WW Grainger Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WW Grainger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WW Grainger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WW Grainger, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WW Grainger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
80.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

WW Grainger Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WW Grainger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WW Grainger can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

WW Grainger Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 0IZI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WW Grainger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WW Grainger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments660 M

WW Grainger Technical Analysis

WW Grainger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 0IZI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WW Grainger. In general, you should focus on analyzing 0IZI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WW Grainger Predictive Forecast Models

WW Grainger's time-series forecasting models is one of many WW Grainger's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WW Grainger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WW Grainger

Checking the ongoing alerts about WW Grainger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WW Grainger help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Additional Tools for 0IZI Stock Analysis

When running WW Grainger's price analysis, check to measure WW Grainger's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WW Grainger is operating at the current time. Most of WW Grainger's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WW Grainger's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WW Grainger's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WW Grainger to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.