Kroger (UK) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 60.3

0JS2 Stock   60.94  0.28  0.46%   
Kroger's future price is the expected price of Kroger instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kroger Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kroger Backtesting, Kroger Valuation, Kroger Correlation, Kroger Hype Analysis, Kroger Volatility, Kroger History as well as Kroger Performance.
  
Please specify Kroger's target price for which you would like Kroger odds to be computed.

Kroger Target Price Odds to finish over 60.3

The tendency of Kroger Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  60.30  in 90 days
 60.94 90 days 60.30 
nearly 4.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kroger to stay above  60.30  in 90 days from now is nearly 4.46 (This Kroger Co probability density function shows the probability of Kroger Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kroger price to stay between  60.30  and its current price of 60.94 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kroger has a beta of 0.36. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kroger average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kroger Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kroger Co has an alpha of 0.1783, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kroger Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kroger

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kroger. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.1460.5561.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.5968.0569.46
Details

Kroger Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kroger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kroger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kroger Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kroger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
2.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Kroger Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kroger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kroger can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Portfolio Design Labs LLC Sells 31,448 Shares of The Kroger Co. - MarketBeat

Kroger Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kroger Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kroger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kroger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding725 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 B

Kroger Technical Analysis

Kroger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kroger Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kroger Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kroger Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kroger Predictive Forecast Models

Kroger's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kroger's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kroger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kroger

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kroger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kroger help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Portfolio Design Labs LLC Sells 31,448 Shares of The Kroger Co. - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for Kroger Stock Analysis

When running Kroger's price analysis, check to measure Kroger's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kroger is operating at the current time. Most of Kroger's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kroger's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kroger's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kroger to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.