Liberty Media (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 79.31
| 0JUJ Stock | 80.40 2.74 3.53% |
Liberty |
Liberty Media Target Price Odds to finish below 79.31
The tendency of Liberty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 79.31 or more in 90 days |
| 80.40 | 90 days | 79.31 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liberty Media to drop to 79.31 or more in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Liberty Media Corp probability density function shows the probability of Liberty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Liberty Media Corp price to stay between 79.31 and its current price of 80.4 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Liberty Media has a beta of 0.84. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Liberty Media average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Liberty Media Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Liberty Media Corp has an alpha of 0.0503, implying that it can generate a 0.0503 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Liberty Media Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Liberty Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liberty Media Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Liberty Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liberty Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liberty Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liberty Media Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liberty Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Liberty Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Liberty Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Liberty Media Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Liberty Media Corporation - Liberty Formula One Series C Q3 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates - Yahoo Finance |
Liberty Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Liberty Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Liberty Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liberty Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 240 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 65 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B | |
| Shares Float | 221.6 M |
Liberty Media Technical Analysis
Liberty Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liberty Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liberty Media Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liberty Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Liberty Media Predictive Forecast Models
Liberty Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Liberty Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Liberty Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Liberty Media Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Liberty Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Liberty Media Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Liberty Media Corporation - Liberty Formula One Series C Q3 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates - Yahoo Finance |
Additional Tools for Liberty Stock Analysis
When running Liberty Media's price analysis, check to measure Liberty Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Liberty Media is operating at the current time. Most of Liberty Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Liberty Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Liberty Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Liberty Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.