Macerich (UK) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.13
| 0JX5 Stock | 21.20 0.07 0.33% |
Macerich |
Macerich Target Price Odds to finish below 18.13
The tendency of Macerich Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 18.13 or more in 90 days |
| 21.20 | 90 days | 18.13 | about 57.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Macerich to drop to 18.13 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.71 (This Macerich Co probability density function shows the probability of Macerich Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Macerich price to stay between 18.13 and its current price of 21.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Macerich Co has a beta of -0.35. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Macerich are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Macerich Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Macerich Co has an alpha of 0.5295, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Macerich Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Macerich
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Macerich. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Macerich Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Macerich is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Macerich's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Macerich Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Macerich within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Macerich Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Macerich for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Macerich can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 881.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (278.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 475.16 M. | |
| Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Smead Capital Management Inc. Has 372.71 Million Position in The Macerich Company - MarketBeat |
Macerich Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Macerich Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Macerich's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Macerich's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 215.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 94.9 M |
Macerich Technical Analysis
Macerich's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Macerich Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Macerich Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Macerich Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Macerich Predictive Forecast Models
Macerich's time-series forecasting models is one of many Macerich's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Macerich's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Macerich
Checking the ongoing alerts about Macerich for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Macerich help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 881.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (278.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 475.16 M. | |
| Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Smead Capital Management Inc. Has 372.71 Million Position in The Macerich Company - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Macerich Stock Analysis
When running Macerich's price analysis, check to measure Macerich's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Macerich is operating at the current time. Most of Macerich's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Macerich's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Macerich's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Macerich to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.