Masco Corp (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 79.42

0JZ1 Stock   79.42  0.23  0.29%   
Masco Corp's future price is the expected price of Masco Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Masco Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Masco Corp Backtesting, Masco Corp Valuation, Masco Corp Correlation, Masco Corp Hype Analysis, Masco Corp Volatility, Masco Corp History as well as Masco Corp Performance.
  
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Masco Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 79.42

The tendency of Masco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 79.42 90 days 79.42 
about 82.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Masco Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.39 (This Masco Corp probability density function shows the probability of Masco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Masco Corp has a beta of 0.0883. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Masco Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Masco Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Masco Corp has an alpha of 0.0075, implying that it can generate a 0.007487 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Masco Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Masco Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Masco Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.2479.4180.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.8777.0487.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
76.5477.7178.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
79.0180.5482.07
Details

Masco Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Masco Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Masco Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Masco Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Masco Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
2.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Masco Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Masco Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Masco Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Masco Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Nomura Asset Management Co. Ltd. Acquires 14,131 Shares of Masco Co. - MarketBeat

Masco Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Masco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Masco Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Masco Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding226 M
Cash And Short Term Investments634 M

Masco Corp Technical Analysis

Masco Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Masco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Masco Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Masco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Masco Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Masco Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Masco Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Masco Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Masco Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Masco Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Masco Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Masco Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Nomura Asset Management Co. Ltd. Acquires 14,131 Shares of Masco Co. - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for Masco Stock Analysis

When running Masco Corp's price analysis, check to measure Masco Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Masco Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Masco Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Masco Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Masco Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Masco Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.