McEwen Mining (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.48
| 0JZT Stock | 8.42 0.02 0.24% |
McEwen |
McEwen Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 8.48
The tendency of McEwen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 8.48 after 90 days |
| 8.42 | 90 days | 8.48 | about 11.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of McEwen Mining to stay under 8.48 after 90 days from now is about 11.37 (This McEwen Mining probability density function shows the probability of McEwen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of McEwen Mining price to stay between its current price of 8.42 and 8.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon McEwen Mining has a beta of 0.66. This suggests as returns on the market go up, McEwen Mining average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding McEwen Mining will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally McEwen Mining has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. McEwen Mining Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for McEwen Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as McEwen Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.McEwen Mining Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. McEwen Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the McEwen Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold McEwen Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of McEwen Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
McEwen Mining Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of McEwen Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for McEwen Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| McEwen Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| McEwen Mining has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| McEwen Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| McEwen Mining generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: McEwen Mining NYSEMUX investor five-year losses grow to 44 percent as the stock sheds US60m this past week - Yahoo Finance |
McEwen Mining Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of McEwen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential McEwen Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. McEwen Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.8 M |
McEwen Mining Technical Analysis
McEwen Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. McEwen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of McEwen Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing McEwen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
McEwen Mining Predictive Forecast Models
McEwen Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many McEwen Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary McEwen Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about McEwen Mining
Checking the ongoing alerts about McEwen Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for McEwen Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| McEwen Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| McEwen Mining has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| McEwen Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| McEwen Mining generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: McEwen Mining NYSEMUX investor five-year losses grow to 44 percent as the stock sheds US60m this past week - Yahoo Finance |
Additional Tools for McEwen Stock Analysis
When running McEwen Mining's price analysis, check to measure McEwen Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy McEwen Mining is operating at the current time. Most of McEwen Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of McEwen Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move McEwen Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of McEwen Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.