NOW (UK) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.79

0K9J Stock   14.79  0.36  2.38%   
NOW's future price is the expected price of NOW instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NOW Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NOW Backtesting, NOW Valuation, NOW Correlation, NOW Hype Analysis, NOW Volatility, NOW History as well as NOW Performance.
  
Please specify NOW's target price for which you would like NOW odds to be computed.

NOW Target Price Odds to finish below 14.79

The tendency of NOW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 14.79 90 days 14.79 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NOW to move below current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This NOW Inc probability density function shows the probability of NOW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NOW has a beta of 0.89. This suggests NOW Inc market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, NOW is expected to follow. Additionally NOW Inc has an alpha of 0.1028, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NOW Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NOW

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NOW Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3014.7817.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5614.0416.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.4213.9016.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.2714.8315.39
Details

NOW Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NOW is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NOW's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NOW Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NOW within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.89
σ
Overall volatility
1.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

NOW Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NOW for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NOW Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NOW Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Enphase Energy, Inc. the Most Profitable Renewable Energy Stock Now - Insider Monkey

NOW Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NOW Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NOW's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NOW's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding108.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments299 M

NOW Technical Analysis

NOW's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NOW Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NOW Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing NOW Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NOW Predictive Forecast Models

NOW's time-series forecasting models is one of many NOW's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NOW's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NOW Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about NOW for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NOW Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NOW Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Enphase Energy, Inc. the Most Profitable Renewable Energy Stock Now - Insider Monkey

Additional Tools for NOW Stock Analysis

When running NOW's price analysis, check to measure NOW's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NOW is operating at the current time. Most of NOW's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NOW's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NOW's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NOW to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.