Omega Healthcare (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.15
| 0KBL Stock | 40.80 0.14 0.34% |
Omega |
Omega Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish below 39.15
The tendency of Omega Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 39.15 or more in 90 days |
| 40.80 | 90 days | 39.15 | about 14.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Omega Healthcare to drop to 39.15 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.99 (This Omega Healthcare Investors probability density function shows the probability of Omega Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Omega Healthcare Inv price to stay between 39.15 and its current price of 40.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Omega Healthcare Investors has a beta of -0.34. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Omega Healthcare are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Omega Healthcare Investors is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Omega Healthcare Investors has an alpha of 0.1192, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Omega Healthcare Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Omega Healthcare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omega Healthcare Inv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Omega Healthcare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Omega Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Omega Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Omega Healthcare Investors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Omega Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Omega Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Omega Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Omega Healthcare Inv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Omega Healthcare Inv is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: COHEN STEERS, INC. Expands Portfolio with Significant Acquisition in Omega Healthcare Investors Inc - GuruFocus.com |
Omega Healthcare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Omega Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Omega Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omega Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 250.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 643.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 442.8 M | |
| Shares Float | 269.1 M |
Omega Healthcare Technical Analysis
Omega Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Omega Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Omega Healthcare Investors. In general, you should focus on analyzing Omega Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Omega Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models
Omega Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Omega Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Omega Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Omega Healthcare Inv
Checking the ongoing alerts about Omega Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Omega Healthcare Inv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Omega Healthcare Inv is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: COHEN STEERS, INC. Expands Portfolio with Significant Acquisition in Omega Healthcare Investors Inc - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Omega Stock Analysis
When running Omega Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Omega Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Omega Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Omega Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Omega Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Omega Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Omega Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.