Tomra Systems (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 162.03

0KV7 Stock   156.07  6.75  4.15%   
Tomra Systems' future price is the expected price of Tomra Systems instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tomra Systems ASA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tomra Systems Backtesting, Tomra Systems Valuation, Tomra Systems Correlation, Tomra Systems Hype Analysis, Tomra Systems Volatility, Tomra Systems History as well as Tomra Systems Performance.
  
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Tomra Systems Target Price Odds to finish over 162.03

The tendency of Tomra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  162.03  or more in 90 days
 156.07 90 days 162.03 
nearly 4.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tomra Systems to move over  162.03  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.86 (This Tomra Systems ASA probability density function shows the probability of Tomra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tomra Systems ASA price to stay between its current price of  156.07  and  162.03  at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tomra Systems ASA has a beta of -0.46. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tomra Systems are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tomra Systems ASA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tomra Systems ASA has an alpha of 0.0616, implying that it can generate a 0.0616 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tomra Systems Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tomra Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tomra Systems ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
153.48156.07158.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
151.46154.05156.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
157.83160.41163.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
137.04149.19161.34
Details

Tomra Systems Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tomra Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tomra Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tomra Systems ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tomra Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.46
σ
Overall volatility
5.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Tomra Systems Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tomra Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tomra Systems ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tomra Systems ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Tomra Systems Technical Analysis

Tomra Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tomra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tomra Systems ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tomra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tomra Systems Predictive Forecast Models

Tomra Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Tomra Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tomra Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tomra Systems ASA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tomra Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tomra Systems ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tomra Systems ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Additional Tools for Tomra Stock Analysis

When running Tomra Systems' price analysis, check to measure Tomra Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tomra Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Tomra Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tomra Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tomra Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tomra Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.