Stanley Black (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 72.22

0L9E Stock   84.67  0.63  0.75%   
Stanley Black's future price is the expected price of Stanley Black instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Stanley Black Decker performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Stanley Black Backtesting, Stanley Black Valuation, Stanley Black Correlation, Stanley Black Hype Analysis, Stanley Black Volatility, Stanley Black History as well as Stanley Black Performance.
  
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Stanley Black Target Price Odds to finish below 72.22

The tendency of Stanley Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  72.22  or more in 90 days
 84.67 90 days 72.22 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stanley Black to drop to  72.22  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Stanley Black Decker probability density function shows the probability of Stanley Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stanley Black Decker price to stay between  72.22  and its current price of 84.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Stanley Black has a beta of 0.22. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Stanley Black average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stanley Black Decker will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stanley Black Decker has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Stanley Black Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Stanley Black

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stanley Black Decker. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.7684.6786.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.5373.4493.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
78.2780.1782.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
82.2286.9691.70
Details

Stanley Black Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stanley Black is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stanley Black's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stanley Black Decker, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stanley Black within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
8.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Stanley Black Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stanley Black for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stanley Black Decker can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stanley Black Decker generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 15.78 B. Net Loss for the year was (310.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.41 B.
Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Is The Market Feeling About Stanley Black Decker - Benzinga

Stanley Black Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stanley Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stanley Black's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stanley Black's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding149.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments454 M

Stanley Black Technical Analysis

Stanley Black's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stanley Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stanley Black Decker. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stanley Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Stanley Black Predictive Forecast Models

Stanley Black's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stanley Black's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stanley Black's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Stanley Black Decker

Checking the ongoing alerts about Stanley Black for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stanley Black Decker help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stanley Black Decker generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 15.78 B. Net Loss for the year was (310.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.41 B.
Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Is The Market Feeling About Stanley Black Decker - Benzinga

Additional Tools for Stanley Stock Analysis

When running Stanley Black's price analysis, check to measure Stanley Black's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stanley Black is operating at the current time. Most of Stanley Black's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stanley Black's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stanley Black's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stanley Black to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.