United States (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 34.66

0LJ9 Stock   39.76  1.01  2.48%   
United States' future price is the expected price of United States instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of United States Steel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out United States Backtesting, United States Valuation, United States Correlation, United States Hype Analysis, United States Volatility, United States History as well as United States Performance.
  
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United States Target Price Odds to finish below 34.66

The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  34.66  or more in 90 days
 39.76 90 days 34.66 
about 19.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United States to drop to  34.66  or more in 90 days from now is about 19.28 (This United States Steel probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of United States Steel price to stay between  34.66  and its current price of 39.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1 . This suggests United States Steel market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, United States is expected to follow. Additionally United States Steel has an alpha of 0.0686, implying that it can generate a 0.0686 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   United States Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for United States

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United States Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.9039.5244.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.7231.3443.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.8838.5143.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.1440.1041.05
Details

United States Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United States is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United States' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United States Steel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United States within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.10
σ
Overall volatility
2.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

United States Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United States for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United States Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United States Steel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
United States Steel is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why U.S. Steel Stock Soared This Week - MSN

United States Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United States' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United States' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding255.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.9 B

United States Technical Analysis

United States' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United States Steel. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

United States Predictive Forecast Models

United States' time-series forecasting models is one of many United States' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United States' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about United States Steel

Checking the ongoing alerts about United States for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United States Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United States Steel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
United States Steel is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why U.S. Steel Stock Soared This Week - MSN

Additional Tools for United Stock Analysis

When running United States' price analysis, check to measure United States' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United States is operating at the current time. Most of United States' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United States' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United States' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United States to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.