Bill Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 46.5
| 0M5 Stock | EUR 87.02 2.42 2.71% |
Bill |
Bill Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 46.5
The tendency of Bill Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 46.50 or more in 90 days |
| 87.02 | 90 days | 46.50 | about 17.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bill Holdings to drop to € 46.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.69 (This Bill Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Bill Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bill Holdings price to stay between € 46.50 and its current price of €87.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.79 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.02 . This suggests Bill Holdings market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bill Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally Bill Holdings has an alpha of 0.816, implying that it can generate a 0.82 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bill Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bill Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bill Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bill Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bill Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bill Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bill Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bill Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.25 |
Bill Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bill Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bill Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bill Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 641.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (326.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 536.92 M. | |
| Bill Holdings has accumulated about 1.17 B in cash with (18.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.31. | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Bill Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bill Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bill Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bill Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 104.2 M |
Bill Holdings Technical Analysis
Bill Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bill Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bill Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bill Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bill Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Bill Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bill Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bill Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bill Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bill Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bill Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bill Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 641.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (326.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 536.92 M. | |
| Bill Holdings has accumulated about 1.17 B in cash with (18.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.31. | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in Bill Stock
Bill Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bill Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bill with respect to the benefits of owning Bill Holdings security.