Aker BP (UK) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 228.15
| 0M5J Stock | 228.40 2.25 0.99% |
Aker |
Aker BP Target Price Odds to finish over 228.15
The tendency of Aker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 228.15 in 90 days |
| 228.40 | 90 days | 228.15 | about 44.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aker BP to stay above 228.15 in 90 days from now is about 44.31 (This Aker BP ASA probability density function shows the probability of Aker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aker BP ASA price to stay between 228.15 and its current price of 228.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aker BP has a beta of 0.0267. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aker BP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aker BP ASA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aker BP ASA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aker BP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aker BP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aker BP ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aker BP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aker BP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aker BP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aker BP ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aker BP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Aker BP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aker BP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aker BP ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aker BP ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Aker BP Technical Analysis
Aker BP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aker BP ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aker BP Predictive Forecast Models
Aker BP's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aker BP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aker BP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aker BP ASA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aker BP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aker BP ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aker BP ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Aker Stock Analysis
When running Aker BP's price analysis, check to measure Aker BP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aker BP is operating at the current time. Most of Aker BP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aker BP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aker BP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aker BP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.