LPKF Laser (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.26

0ND2 Stock   8.60  0.08  0.92%   
LPKF Laser's future price is the expected price of LPKF Laser instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LPKF Laser Electronics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LPKF Laser Backtesting, LPKF Laser Valuation, LPKF Laser Correlation, LPKF Laser Hype Analysis, LPKF Laser Volatility, LPKF Laser History as well as LPKF Laser Performance.
  
Please specify LPKF Laser's target price for which you would like LPKF Laser odds to be computed.

LPKF Laser Target Price Odds to finish over 13.26

The tendency of LPKF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  13.26  or more in 90 days
 8.60 90 days 13.26 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LPKF Laser to move over  13.26  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This LPKF Laser Electronics probability density function shows the probability of LPKF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LPKF Laser Electronics price to stay between its current price of  8.60  and  13.26  at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LPKF Laser has a beta of 0.39. This suggests as returns on the market go up, LPKF Laser average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LPKF Laser Electronics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LPKF Laser Electronics has an alpha of 0.0046, implying that it can generate a 0.004626 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   LPKF Laser Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LPKF Laser

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LPKF Laser Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.928.5810.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.068.7210.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.128.7710.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.478.578.67
Details

LPKF Laser Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LPKF Laser is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LPKF Laser's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LPKF Laser Electronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LPKF Laser within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

LPKF Laser Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LPKF Laser for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LPKF Laser Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LPKF Laser generates negative cash flow from operations

LPKF Laser Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LPKF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LPKF Laser's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LPKF Laser's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.7 M

LPKF Laser Technical Analysis

LPKF Laser's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LPKF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LPKF Laser Electronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing LPKF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LPKF Laser Predictive Forecast Models

LPKF Laser's time-series forecasting models is one of many LPKF Laser's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LPKF Laser's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LPKF Laser Electronics

Checking the ongoing alerts about LPKF Laser for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LPKF Laser Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LPKF Laser generates negative cash flow from operations

Additional Tools for LPKF Stock Analysis

When running LPKF Laser's price analysis, check to measure LPKF Laser's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LPKF Laser is operating at the current time. Most of LPKF Laser's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LPKF Laser's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LPKF Laser's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LPKF Laser to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.