UNIPHAR PLC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.16
| 0NR Stock | EUR 2.05 0.04 1.91% |
UNIPHAR |
UNIPHAR PLC Target Price Odds to finish over 3.16
The tendency of UNIPHAR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 3.16 or more in 90 days |
| 2.05 | 90 days | 3.16 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UNIPHAR PLC to move over € 3.16 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This UNIPHAR PLC EO probability density function shows the probability of UNIPHAR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UNIPHAR PLC EO price to stay between its current price of € 2.05 and € 3.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon UNIPHAR PLC has a beta of 0.41. This suggests as returns on the market go up, UNIPHAR PLC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding UNIPHAR PLC EO will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally UNIPHAR PLC EO has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. UNIPHAR PLC Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for UNIPHAR PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UNIPHAR PLC EO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.UNIPHAR PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UNIPHAR PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UNIPHAR PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UNIPHAR PLC EO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UNIPHAR PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
UNIPHAR PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UNIPHAR PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UNIPHAR PLC EO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| UNIPHAR PLC EO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| UNIPHAR PLC EO has accumulated 218.46 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.08, which is about average as compared to similar companies. UNIPHAR PLC EO has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist UNIPHAR PLC until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, UNIPHAR PLC's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like UNIPHAR PLC EO sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for UNIPHAR to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about UNIPHAR PLC's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
UNIPHAR PLC Technical Analysis
UNIPHAR PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UNIPHAR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UNIPHAR PLC EO. In general, you should focus on analyzing UNIPHAR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
UNIPHAR PLC Predictive Forecast Models
UNIPHAR PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many UNIPHAR PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UNIPHAR PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about UNIPHAR PLC EO
Checking the ongoing alerts about UNIPHAR PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UNIPHAR PLC EO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| UNIPHAR PLC EO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| UNIPHAR PLC EO has accumulated 218.46 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.08, which is about average as compared to similar companies. UNIPHAR PLC EO has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist UNIPHAR PLC until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, UNIPHAR PLC's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like UNIPHAR PLC EO sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for UNIPHAR to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about UNIPHAR PLC's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in UNIPHAR Stock
UNIPHAR PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether UNIPHAR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UNIPHAR with respect to the benefits of owning UNIPHAR PLC security.