Compagnie Plastic (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.87

0NW1 Stock   8.65  0.07  0.82%   
Compagnie Plastic's future price is the expected price of Compagnie Plastic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Compagnie Plastic Omnium performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Compagnie Plastic Backtesting, Compagnie Plastic Valuation, Compagnie Plastic Correlation, Compagnie Plastic Hype Analysis, Compagnie Plastic Volatility, Compagnie Plastic History as well as Compagnie Plastic Performance.
  
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Compagnie Plastic Target Price Odds to finish below 7.87

The tendency of Compagnie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  7.87  or more in 90 days
 8.65 90 days 7.87 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compagnie Plastic to drop to  7.87  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Compagnie Plastic Omnium probability density function shows the probability of Compagnie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Compagnie Plastic Omnium price to stay between  7.87  and its current price of 8.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Compagnie Plastic Omnium has a beta of -0.0318. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Compagnie Plastic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Compagnie Plastic Omnium is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Compagnie Plastic Omnium has an alpha of 0.0398, implying that it can generate a 0.0398 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Compagnie Plastic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Compagnie Plastic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compagnie Plastic Omnium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.588.6511.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.287.3510.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.568.6311.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.688.349.00
Details

Compagnie Plastic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compagnie Plastic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compagnie Plastic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compagnie Plastic Omnium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compagnie Plastic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Compagnie Plastic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compagnie Plastic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compagnie Plastic Omnium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compagnie Plastic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Compagnie Plastic Technical Analysis

Compagnie Plastic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compagnie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compagnie Plastic Omnium. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compagnie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Compagnie Plastic Predictive Forecast Models

Compagnie Plastic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Compagnie Plastic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compagnie Plastic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Compagnie Plastic Omnium

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compagnie Plastic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compagnie Plastic Omnium help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compagnie Plastic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Compagnie Stock Analysis

When running Compagnie Plastic's price analysis, check to measure Compagnie Plastic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compagnie Plastic is operating at the current time. Most of Compagnie Plastic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compagnie Plastic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compagnie Plastic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compagnie Plastic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.