Bertrandt (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.43

0NYZ Stock   18.75  0.05  0.27%   
Bertrandt's future price is the expected price of Bertrandt instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bertrandt AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bertrandt Backtesting, Bertrandt Valuation, Bertrandt Correlation, Bertrandt Hype Analysis, Bertrandt Volatility, Bertrandt History as well as Bertrandt Performance.
  
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Bertrandt Target Price Odds to finish over 18.43

The tendency of Bertrandt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  18.43  in 90 days
 18.75 90 days 18.43 
about 67.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bertrandt to stay above  18.43  in 90 days from now is about 67.83 (This Bertrandt AG probability density function shows the probability of Bertrandt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bertrandt AG price to stay between  18.43  and its current price of 18.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bertrandt has a beta of 0.079. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Bertrandt average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bertrandt AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bertrandt AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bertrandt Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bertrandt

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bertrandt AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.2418.7521.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2615.7720.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.7918.3120.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.8818.0719.26
Details

Bertrandt Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bertrandt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bertrandt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bertrandt AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bertrandt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Bertrandt Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bertrandt for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bertrandt AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bertrandt AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Bertrandt Technical Analysis

Bertrandt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bertrandt Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bertrandt AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bertrandt Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bertrandt Predictive Forecast Models

Bertrandt's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bertrandt's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bertrandt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bertrandt AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bertrandt for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bertrandt AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bertrandt AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Bertrandt Stock Analysis

When running Bertrandt's price analysis, check to measure Bertrandt's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bertrandt is operating at the current time. Most of Bertrandt's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bertrandt's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bertrandt's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bertrandt to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.