Bertrandt (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.77
| 0NYZ Stock | 18.75 0.05 0.27% |
Bertrandt |
Bertrandt Target Price Odds to finish below 18.77
The tendency of Bertrandt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 18.77 after 90 days |
| 18.75 | 90 days | 18.77 | about 35.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bertrandt to stay under 18.77 after 90 days from now is about 35.7 (This Bertrandt AG probability density function shows the probability of Bertrandt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bertrandt AG price to stay between its current price of 18.75 and 18.77 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bertrandt AG has a beta of -0.17. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bertrandt are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bertrandt AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bertrandt AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bertrandt Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bertrandt
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bertrandt AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bertrandt Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bertrandt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bertrandt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bertrandt AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bertrandt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Bertrandt Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bertrandt for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bertrandt AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bertrandt AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 53.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Bertrandt Technical Analysis
Bertrandt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bertrandt Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bertrandt AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bertrandt Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bertrandt Predictive Forecast Models
Bertrandt's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bertrandt's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bertrandt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bertrandt AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bertrandt for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bertrandt AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bertrandt AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 53.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Bertrandt Stock Analysis
When running Bertrandt's price analysis, check to measure Bertrandt's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bertrandt is operating at the current time. Most of Bertrandt's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bertrandt's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bertrandt's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bertrandt to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.