Thyssenkrupp (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.87

0O1C Stock   4.21  0.02  0.48%   
Thyssenkrupp's future price is the expected price of Thyssenkrupp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thyssenkrupp AG ON performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thyssenkrupp Backtesting, Thyssenkrupp Valuation, Thyssenkrupp Correlation, Thyssenkrupp Hype Analysis, Thyssenkrupp Volatility, Thyssenkrupp History as well as Thyssenkrupp Performance.
  
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Thyssenkrupp Target Price Odds to finish over 4.87

The tendency of Thyssenkrupp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4.87  or more in 90 days
 4.21 90 days 4.87 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thyssenkrupp to move over  4.87  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Thyssenkrupp AG ON probability density function shows the probability of Thyssenkrupp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thyssenkrupp AG ON price to stay between its current price of  4.21  and  4.87  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thyssenkrupp has a beta of 0.0474. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Thyssenkrupp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thyssenkrupp AG ON will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thyssenkrupp AG ON has an alpha of 0.6459, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Thyssenkrupp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thyssenkrupp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thyssenkrupp AG ON. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.174.237.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.883.947.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.164.227.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.883.534.18
Details

Thyssenkrupp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thyssenkrupp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thyssenkrupp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thyssenkrupp AG ON, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thyssenkrupp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Thyssenkrupp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thyssenkrupp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thyssenkrupp AG ON can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thyssenkrupp AG ON appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Thyssenkrupp AG ON has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 35.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.07 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.66 B.
About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Thyssenkrupp Technical Analysis

Thyssenkrupp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thyssenkrupp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thyssenkrupp AG ON. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thyssenkrupp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thyssenkrupp Predictive Forecast Models

Thyssenkrupp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thyssenkrupp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thyssenkrupp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thyssenkrupp AG ON

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thyssenkrupp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thyssenkrupp AG ON help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thyssenkrupp AG ON appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Thyssenkrupp AG ON has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 35.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.07 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.66 B.
About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Thyssenkrupp Stock Analysis

When running Thyssenkrupp's price analysis, check to measure Thyssenkrupp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thyssenkrupp is operating at the current time. Most of Thyssenkrupp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thyssenkrupp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thyssenkrupp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thyssenkrupp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.