CABK RV (Spain) Odds of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 13.69
| 0P00000XGU | 12.83 0.09 0.71% |
CABK |
CABK RV Target Price Odds to finish below 13.69
The tendency of CABK Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 13.69 after 90 days |
| 12.83 | 90 days | 13.69 | about 32.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CABK RV to stay under 13.69 after 90 days from now is about 32.39 (This CABK RV Internacional probability density function shows the probability of CABK Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CABK RV Internacional price to stay between its current price of 12.83 and 13.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CABK RV Internacional has a beta of -0.0037. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CABK RV are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CABK RV Internacional is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CABK RV Internacional has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CABK RV Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CABK RV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CABK RV Internacional. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CABK RV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CABK RV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CABK RV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CABK RV Internacional, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CABK RV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0037 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0068 |
CABK RV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CABK RV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CABK RV Internacional can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CABK RV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
CABK RV Technical Analysis
CABK RV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CABK Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CABK RV Internacional. In general, you should focus on analyzing CABK Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CABK RV Predictive Forecast Models
CABK RV's time-series forecasting models is one of many CABK RV's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CABK RV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CABK RV Internacional
Checking the ongoing alerts about CABK RV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CABK RV Internacional help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CABK RV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
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