KLP AksjeGlobal (Ireland) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 4056.54
| 0P00001BHH | 4,072 0.00 0.00% |
KLP |
KLP AksjeGlobal Target Price Odds to finish over 4056.54
The tendency of KLP Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 4,057 in 90 days |
| 4,072 | 90 days | 4,057 | about 8.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KLP AksjeGlobal to stay above 4,057 in 90 days from now is about 8.77 (This KLP AksjeGlobal Indeks probability density function shows the probability of KLP Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KLP AksjeGlobal Indeks price to stay between 4,057 and its current price of 4071.65 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KLP AksjeGlobal has a beta of 0.14. This suggests as returns on the market go up, KLP AksjeGlobal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KLP AksjeGlobal Indeks will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KLP AksjeGlobal Indeks has an alpha of 0.0608, implying that it can generate a 0.0608 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KLP AksjeGlobal Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KLP AksjeGlobal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KLP AksjeGlobal Indeks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KLP AksjeGlobal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KLP AksjeGlobal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KLP AksjeGlobal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KLP AksjeGlobal Indeks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KLP AksjeGlobal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 85.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
KLP AksjeGlobal Technical Analysis
KLP AksjeGlobal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KLP Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KLP AksjeGlobal Indeks. In general, you should focus on analyzing KLP Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KLP AksjeGlobal Predictive Forecast Models
KLP AksjeGlobal's time-series forecasting models is one of many KLP AksjeGlobal's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KLP AksjeGlobal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards KLP AksjeGlobal in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, KLP AksjeGlobal's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from KLP AksjeGlobal options trading.
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