Naranja 2050 (Spain) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 25.30
| 0P0000858L | 25.93 0.03 0.12% |
Naranja |
Naranja 2050 Target Price Odds to finish below 25.30
The tendency of Naranja Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 25.30 or more in 90 days |
| 25.93 | 90 days | 25.30 | about 57.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Naranja 2050 to drop to 25.30 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.18 (This Naranja 2050 PP probability density function shows the probability of Naranja Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Naranja 2050 PP price to stay between 25.30 and its current price of 25.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Naranja 2050 has a beta of 0.14. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Naranja 2050 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Naranja 2050 PP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Naranja 2050 PP has an alpha of 0.0502, implying that it can generate a 0.0502 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Naranja 2050 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Naranja 2050
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Naranja 2050 PP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Naranja 2050 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Naranja 2050 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Naranja 2050's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Naranja 2050 PP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Naranja 2050 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Naranja 2050 Technical Analysis
Naranja 2050's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Naranja Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Naranja 2050 PP. In general, you should focus on analyzing Naranja Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Naranja 2050 Predictive Forecast Models
Naranja 2050's time-series forecasting models is one of many Naranja 2050's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Naranja 2050's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Naranja 2050 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Naranja 2050's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Naranja 2050 options trading.
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