Manulife Global Equity Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 43.78
| 0P0000MOTX | CAD 44.60 0.14 0.31% |
Manulife |
Manulife Global Target Price Odds to finish below 43.78
The tendency of Manulife Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 43.78 or more in 90 days |
| 44.60 | 90 days | 43.78 | about 80.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Manulife Global to drop to C$ 43.78 or more in 90 days from now is about 80.92 (This Manulife Global Equity probability density function shows the probability of Manulife Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Manulife Global Equity price to stay between C$ 43.78 and its current price of C$44.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Manulife Global Equity has a beta of -0.013. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Manulife Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Manulife Global Equity is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Manulife Global Equity has an alpha of 0.073, implying that it can generate a 0.073 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Manulife Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Manulife Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Manulife Global Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Manulife Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Manulife Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Manulife Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Manulife Global Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Manulife Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Manulife Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Manulife Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Manulife Global Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds 95.41% of its total net assets in equities |
Manulife Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Manulife Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Manulife Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manulife Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Manulife Global Technical Analysis
Manulife Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Manulife Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Manulife Global Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Manulife Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Manulife Global Predictive Forecast Models
Manulife Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Manulife Global's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Manulife Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Manulife Global Equity
Checking the ongoing alerts about Manulife Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Manulife Global Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds 95.41% of its total net assets in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Manulife Fund
Manulife Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Manulife Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Manulife with respect to the benefits of owning Manulife Global security.
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