Cap ISR (Germany) Odds of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 4.00

0P0001338C  EUR 6.10  0.03  0.49%   
Cap ISR's future price is the expected price of Cap ISR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cap ISR Actions performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cap ISR Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Cap ISR Correlation, Cap ISR Hype Analysis, Cap ISR Volatility, Cap ISR History as well as Cap ISR Performance.
  
Please specify Cap ISR's target price for which you would like Cap ISR odds to be computed.

Cap ISR Target Price Odds to finish below 4.00

The tendency of Cap Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 4.00  or more in 90 days
 6.10 90 days 4.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cap ISR to drop to € 4.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cap ISR Actions probability density function shows the probability of Cap Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cap ISR Actions price to stay between € 4.00  and its current price of €6.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cap ISR Actions has a beta of -0.0472. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cap ISR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cap ISR Actions is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cap ISR Actions has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cap ISR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cap ISR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cap ISR Actions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.466.106.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.155.796.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.536.176.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.816.016.21
Details

Cap ISR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cap ISR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cap ISR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cap ISR Actions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cap ISR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0025
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Cap ISR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cap ISR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cap ISR Actions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cap ISR Actions generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cap ISR Actions generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund holds all of the total net assets in various exotic instrument

Cap ISR Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cap Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cap ISR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cap ISR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Cap ISR Technical Analysis

Cap ISR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cap Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cap ISR Actions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cap Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cap ISR Predictive Forecast Models

Cap ISR's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cap ISR's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cap ISR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cap ISR Actions

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cap ISR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cap ISR Actions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cap ISR Actions generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cap ISR Actions generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund holds all of the total net assets in various exotic instrument

Other Information on Investing in Cap Fund

Cap ISR financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cap Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cap with respect to the benefits of owning Cap ISR security.
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