Discovery Aggressive (South Africa) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 1.64
| 0P00017KS6 | 1.63 0.01 0.61% |
Discovery |
Discovery Aggressive Target Price Odds to finish below 1.64
The tendency of Discovery Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.64 after 90 days |
| 1.63 | 90 days | 1.64 | over 95.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Discovery Aggressive to stay under 1.64 after 90 days from now is over 95.94 (This Discovery Aggressive Dynamic probability density function shows the probability of Discovery Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Discovery Aggressive price to stay between its current price of 1.63 and 1.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Discovery Aggressive has a beta of 0.0764. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Discovery Aggressive average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Discovery Aggressive Dynamic will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Discovery Aggressive Dynamic has an alpha of 0.0387, implying that it can generate a 0.0387 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Discovery Aggressive Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Discovery Aggressive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Discovery Aggressive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Discovery Aggressive Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Discovery Aggressive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Discovery Aggressive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Discovery Aggressive Dynamic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Discovery Aggressive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Discovery Aggressive Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Discovery Aggressive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Discovery Aggressive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Discovery Aggressive may become a speculative penny stock |
Discovery Aggressive Technical Analysis
Discovery Aggressive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Discovery Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Discovery Aggressive Dynamic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Discovery Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Discovery Aggressive Predictive Forecast Models
Discovery Aggressive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Discovery Aggressive's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Discovery Aggressive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Discovery Aggressive
Checking the ongoing alerts about Discovery Aggressive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Discovery Aggressive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Discovery Aggressive may become a speculative penny stock |
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