Finizens Decidido (Spain) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 14.90
| 0P0001971P | 15.35 0.07 0.45% |
Finizens |
Finizens Decidido Target Price Odds to finish below 14.90
The tendency of Finizens Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 14.90 or more in 90 days |
| 15.35 | 90 days | 14.90 | about 53.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Finizens Decidido to drop to 14.90 or more in 90 days from now is about 53.84 (This Finizens Decidido Pp probability density function shows the probability of Finizens Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Finizens Decidido price to stay between 14.90 and its current price of 15.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Finizens Decidido Pp has a beta of -0.18. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Finizens Decidido are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Finizens Decidido Pp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Finizens Decidido Pp has an alpha of 0.0923, implying that it can generate a 0.0923 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Finizens Decidido Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Finizens Decidido
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Finizens Decidido. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Finizens Decidido Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Finizens Decidido is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Finizens Decidido's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Finizens Decidido Pp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Finizens Decidido within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Finizens Decidido Technical Analysis
Finizens Decidido's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Finizens Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Finizens Decidido Pp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Finizens Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Finizens Decidido Predictive Forecast Models
Finizens Decidido's time-series forecasting models is one of many Finizens Decidido's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Finizens Decidido's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Finizens Decidido in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Finizens Decidido's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Finizens Decidido options trading.
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