Finizens Atrevido (Spain) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 17.07
| 0P00019JDN | 17.02 0.08 0.47% |
Finizens |
Finizens Atrevido Target Price Odds to finish below 17.07
The tendency of Finizens Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 17.07 after 90 days |
| 17.02 | 90 days | 17.07 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Finizens Atrevido to stay under 17.07 after 90 days from now is under 95 (This Finizens Atrevido Pp probability density function shows the probability of Finizens Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Finizens Atrevido price to stay between its current price of 17.02 and 17.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Finizens Atrevido Pp has a beta of -0.0226. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Finizens Atrevido are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Finizens Atrevido Pp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Finizens Atrevido Pp has an alpha of 0.0805, implying that it can generate a 0.0805 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Finizens Atrevido Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Finizens Atrevido
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Finizens Atrevido. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Finizens Atrevido Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Finizens Atrevido is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Finizens Atrevido's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Finizens Atrevido Pp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Finizens Atrevido within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Finizens Atrevido Technical Analysis
Finizens Atrevido's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Finizens Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Finizens Atrevido Pp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Finizens Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Finizens Atrevido Predictive Forecast Models
Finizens Atrevido's time-series forecasting models is one of many Finizens Atrevido's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Finizens Atrevido's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Finizens Atrevido in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Finizens Atrevido's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Finizens Atrevido options trading.
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