Ci Signature Cat Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 36.87

0P0001AAKP  CAD 36.75  0.36  0.97%   
CI Signature's future price is the expected price of CI Signature instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CI Signature Cat performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CI Signature Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, CI Signature Correlation, CI Signature Hype Analysis, CI Signature Volatility, CI Signature History as well as CI Signature Performance.
  
Please specify CI Signature's target price for which you would like CI Signature odds to be computed.

CI Signature Target Price Odds to finish below 36.87

The tendency of 0P0001AAKP Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under C$ 36.87  after 90 days
 36.75 90 days 36.87 
over 95.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CI Signature to stay under C$ 36.87  after 90 days from now is over 95.17 (This CI Signature Cat probability density function shows the probability of 0P0001AAKP Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CI Signature Cat price to stay between its current price of C$ 36.75  and C$ 36.87  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CI Signature has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, CI Signature average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CI Signature Cat will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CI Signature Cat has an alpha of 0.2288, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CI Signature Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CI Signature

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CI Signature Cat. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.4436.7538.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.0838.7540.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.0136.3237.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.9436.6037.27
Details

CI Signature Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CI Signature is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CI Signature's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CI Signature Cat, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CI Signature within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
2.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

CI Signature Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CI Signature for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CI Signature Cat can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 95.08% of its total net assets in equities

CI Signature Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 0P0001AAKP Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CI Signature's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CI Signature's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

CI Signature Technical Analysis

CI Signature's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 0P0001AAKP Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CI Signature Cat. In general, you should focus on analyzing 0P0001AAKP Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CI Signature Predictive Forecast Models

CI Signature's time-series forecasting models is one of many CI Signature's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CI Signature's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CI Signature Cat

Checking the ongoing alerts about CI Signature for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CI Signature Cat help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 95.08% of its total net assets in equities

Other Information on Investing in 0P0001AAKP Fund

CI Signature financial ratios help investors to determine whether 0P0001AAKP Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 0P0001AAKP with respect to the benefits of owning CI Signature security.
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