Bmo Concentrated Global Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 16.56

0P0001D8QF  CAD 18.74  0.01  0.05%   
BMO Concentrated's future price is the expected price of BMO Concentrated instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BMO Concentrated Global performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BMO Concentrated Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BMO Concentrated Correlation, BMO Concentrated Hype Analysis, BMO Concentrated Volatility, BMO Concentrated History as well as BMO Concentrated Performance.
  
Please specify BMO Concentrated's target price for which you would like BMO Concentrated odds to be computed.

BMO Concentrated Target Price Odds to finish below 16.56

The tendency of BMO Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 16.56  or more in 90 days
 18.74 90 days 16.56 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BMO Concentrated to drop to C$ 16.56  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BMO Concentrated Global probability density function shows the probability of BMO Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BMO Concentrated Global price to stay between C$ 16.56  and its current price of C$18.74 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BMO Concentrated has a beta of 0.23. This suggests as returns on the market go up, BMO Concentrated average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BMO Concentrated Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BMO Concentrated Global has an alpha of 0.0667, implying that it can generate a 0.0667 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BMO Concentrated Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BMO Concentrated

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BMO Concentrated Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2618.7419.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.3416.8220.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.3918.8719.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.0518.4818.91
Details

BMO Concentrated Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BMO Concentrated is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BMO Concentrated's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BMO Concentrated Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BMO Concentrated within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

BMO Concentrated Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BMO Concentrated for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BMO Concentrated Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.43% of its total net assets in equities

BMO Concentrated Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BMO Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BMO Concentrated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BMO Concentrated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

BMO Concentrated Technical Analysis

BMO Concentrated's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BMO Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BMO Concentrated Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing BMO Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BMO Concentrated Predictive Forecast Models

BMO Concentrated's time-series forecasting models is one of many BMO Concentrated's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BMO Concentrated's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BMO Concentrated Global

Checking the ongoing alerts about BMO Concentrated for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BMO Concentrated Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.43% of its total net assets in equities

Other Information on Investing in BMO Fund

BMO Concentrated financial ratios help investors to determine whether BMO Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BMO with respect to the benefits of owning BMO Concentrated security.
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