Bmo Concentrated Global Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 18.38
| 0P0001D8QF | CAD 18.51 0.17 0.91% |
BMO |
BMO Concentrated Target Price Odds to finish below 18.38
The tendency of BMO Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 18.38 or more in 90 days |
| 18.51 | 90 days | 18.38 | about 80.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BMO Concentrated to drop to C$ 18.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 80.58 (This BMO Concentrated Global probability density function shows the probability of BMO Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BMO Concentrated Global price to stay between C$ 18.38 and its current price of C$18.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BMO Concentrated Global has a beta of -0.0185. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BMO Concentrated are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BMO Concentrated Global is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BMO Concentrated Global has an alpha of 0.0862, implying that it can generate a 0.0862 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BMO Concentrated Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for BMO Concentrated
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BMO Concentrated Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BMO Concentrated Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BMO Concentrated is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BMO Concentrated's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BMO Concentrated Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BMO Concentrated within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
BMO Concentrated Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BMO Concentrated for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BMO Concentrated Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds 97.43% of its total net assets in equities |
BMO Concentrated Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BMO Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BMO Concentrated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BMO Concentrated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
BMO Concentrated Technical Analysis
BMO Concentrated's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BMO Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BMO Concentrated Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing BMO Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BMO Concentrated Predictive Forecast Models
BMO Concentrated's time-series forecasting models is one of many BMO Concentrated's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BMO Concentrated's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BMO Concentrated Global
Checking the ongoing alerts about BMO Concentrated for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BMO Concentrated Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds 97.43% of its total net assets in equities |
Other Information on Investing in BMO Fund
BMO Concentrated financial ratios help investors to determine whether BMO Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BMO with respect to the benefits of owning BMO Concentrated security.
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